Sports Betting Thread

If I had more proof Shogun was back to his old form those would be good odds.

Unfortunately he’s not quite there yet. I think if he had another win or two for me to judge him on I would be more confident.

He’s got a chance, but Machida’s style is a bad matchup for his.

Did you ever go with this? I’m thinking I might just do it. Maybe just $50 on Carolina and the points to make it interesting.

edit I went ahead and put 50 in a parlay with the over. Both teams have gone over the O/U for their last 5 games. Seems like a decent bet.

Ok, anyone have any insight as to why Louisiana Tech would be favored over Hawaii tonight?

I mean, I guess I know Hawaii isn’t great. But they’re one point away from being 3-0. They’re still averaging 33 points a game. And they’ve gone on the road and gotten a decent win against a (bad) Pac-10 team.

Only thing I know about Tech is that they’ve gotten handled by Navy.

I guess you could make the argument that Hawaii isn’t good on the road out east, but against a 1-2 Louisana Tech team I wouldn’t put too much into that.

Lol I’m like 0-3 after posting on this thread, maybe staying away and posting AFTER was a good idea after all lol.

Tonights game looks interesting, not gonna say who but I’ll post after LOL!

Chargers should beat the Steelers on Sunday I think, thats where my money is going (that may mean to bet against me)

I think they’ll win straight up the Steelers just cannot finish teams this year

+235 = ima be rich?

probably not :frowning:

Is that game at SD or Pitt? I can’t check here at work.

Thanks for bringing that up, I had forgotten, it’s at Pitts but it least its the 8pm game so it isnt that western team going east for 1oclock game

I would feel uneasy about going for SD on the moneyline in a primetime game in Pittsburgh. What’s the spread?

Im gonna go back on what I said earlier in the week and lay Portsmouth at Wolves.

Storrie sounded confident on the phone in I mentioned, but then everyone’s wages bounced. The Arab dude is rumoured to need 16 mill to keep the club afloat and is in hospital with kidney stones, so hardly reassuring.

Wolves are scoring a fair few and Ebane-Banks (or however its spelt) is hot shit.

Portsmouth at 3.65 to lay are too good to pass up and Im laying down another 20. Liability of 53 on it.

Also started a trail run with a martingale system Ive been planning for a bit, so will update you all if its a guaranteed money maker (lol naturally)

edit Oh wait, at first I read wrong, though you said you took Portsmouth. Damn.

Knew the run of losses had to end some time. But that’s an unexpected one.

You’ll have to explain this, I’m not familiar.

yeah sods law innit. i refused to watch Match of the Day, but apparently wolves deserved it, but then again, portsmouth deserved something at everton, so swings n roundabouts.

Martingale is a system where you double up when you lose. I think its named after some fella who allegedly broke the bank at monte carlo by backing red in roulette, then just doubling his stake when he lost to then recoup his losses. In reality its a ridiculous system that inevitably leads to ruin.

So first bet is 1, then 2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024. So in 11 bets you are staking over a grand to win 1! But if you can find a market at odds over 5s or so, it isnt as dumb as it sounds. Didnt have a winner yesterday we shall see today!

I was up a lot today. NYG and N.O never lets me down. Then the night game I unloaded my whole roll which I’m NEVER doing again btw because it’s HORRIBLE to do long term… It was so scary.

Accepted Date: Oct 04, 2009 07:25 PM - EST
Graded Date: October 04, 2009 11:45 PM - EST
Wager Type: Spread (or run line)
Wager Status: Won
Risk: $2,169.54 (USD)
To Win Amount: $1,972.31 (USD)

Amount Paid: $4,141.85 (USD)

Description: Football NFL - 226 Pittsburgh Steelers -5 -110 for Game

Tomorrow’s game looks like a trap, but I’m a degenerate so I’m going to have to bet something.

Man, how can you chase when you are UP? You need to rein that in and learn to take a few seconds before placing the bet. so easy since its all on the internet no. I used to go full tilt far too often and have learnt to contol it (more or less lol)

lol martingale is a system that loses you all of your money unless you have more than the house…which you probably don’t

Weekend was up and down for me.

I won some easy games on Sat with LSU, Penn St. Ohio State, USC, etc. But a few games kept me from really getting up. Michigan and Oklahoma losing hurt.

NFL on Sunday was kind of the same, won a few, lost a few.

You’re not kidding about New Orleans. The fact that they can cover so easily without Drew Brees throwing a touchdown is a huge change from the last few years.

I’m banking on them every week.

FUCK MAN. Another fucking scary ass game down to the last fucking play. Jesus christ. Luckily I was again on the right side. Vikings-4.5!

Accepted Date: Oct 05, 2009 01:38 PM - EST
Graded Date: October 05, 2009 11:58 PM - EST
Wager Type: Spread (or run line)
Wager Status: Won
Risk: $2,200.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $2,000.00 (USD)

Amount Paid: $4,200.00 (USD)

Description: Football NFL - 228 Minnesota Vikings -4 -110 for Game

Hell yeah.

I took the Vikings also. I actually ended up going up a little for the weekend.

I wanted to take the over also, but didn’t end up doing it.

off topic, but you coming to Season’s Beatings Marn?

did you read the 2nd half of my comments? Doing it at higher odds makes it more practicle, especially if the odds you are using arent true odds. Anyways, its an experiment.

from 9 games played over the weekend its up 8 points with an average stake of 2.5 points and a loss streak of 5 in a row. The odds ranged from 4.5 (which was the game that won) to 11.5. Two other games, one at 4.7, one at 5.8 both came very close to winning as well, which would have massively distorted the figures.

so you can see that at those odds, you arent having savage stake increases each time a bet loses. You set yourself a target win price then add the losses as you go along. As several of the games were played at the same time, you can choose to pre-martingale or flat stake to start with, then increase for the next set of games.

Longest losing streaks all season have been 9 games and 2 lots of 8 games. So you arent getting into silly figures by any means.

anyways, I have put 100 points aside for it, so will see how it grows (or collapses!)

My last 3 bets, with 1 pending.

Wager Status: Won
Risk: $500.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $454.54 (USD)
Amount Paid: $954.54 (USD)
Description: Baseball MLB - 956 Minnesota Twins / New York Yankees Under 9 -110 for Game - Pitcher Options: Brian Duensing - L must start / C.C. Sabathia - L must start

Wager Status: Won
Risk: $500.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $384.62 (USD)
Amount Paid: $884.62 (USD)
Description: Baseball MLB - 952 Philadelphia Phillies -130 for Game - Pitcher Options: Action

Wager Status: Won
Risk: $1,000.00 (USD)
To Win Amount: $1,150.00 (USD)
Amount Paid: $2,150.00 (USD)
Description: Basketball WNBA - 607 Phoenix Mercury +115 for Game

Still have another pending on STL/LAD…

Ok, so tomorrow the only line I’m giving out a tip on is Wisconsin +16 at Ohio State.

I’m an OSU fan, and even I don’t think it’s going to be anywhere near that decisisive.

Every year that game is a good one.

Anyone got anything else good?