Except that is 90% of the matches that Blanka has… you play lame and try not to do punishable stuff then look for a chance to capitalize.
You do balls when you hit confirm, and you whiff them for setups, or if you need to chip hakan out. You don’t do ball randomly against any character really because the risk:reward does not favor Blanka, especially vs. a character who can punish them on hit.
Blanka plays really lame and punishes oil up attempts while being proactive enough to not get himself cornered. Once Hakan runs out of oil you can be more aggressive because the risk of parry is gone and Drykan is just a bad character. Blanka can punish an oil up attempt with a hard knockdown which runs a lot of time off the clock. If hakan doesn’t have ex meter he can also do some work here in terms of pressure with cl.mk, an ambiguous jumpin, a safejump or an overhead setup. You can also be more aggressive and dare him to ex spd you, but I don’t really like the risk:reward there.
I think Oilkan beats Blanka, but Drykan has to work to get a random knockdown off of a crazy guess spd/slide/focus to even be able to fight Blanka.
You’ve played all the top blankas but you mean by BP or possibly PP and not in terms of actual player skill correct? Because I’m pretty sure we have not played, and I assume you haven’t played Ferris.
Watching your matches I see the Blanka players spacing themselves incorrectly, being aggressive against oiled Hakan, and not doing the correct combos.
The match is very favorable for Hakan if the Blanka player does not play correctly.
How do you build meter with hakan if Blanka is laming you out? He’ll just walk forward and slide whatever you whiff. If you oil shower ex then cancel to crouch you’re still getting hit by slide, lost a meter, and you only get a bit of the oil.
to your bullet points
Almost every character in the game can punish all 3 of horizontal ball, vertical ball, and rainbow roll, this isn’t a unique feature of Hakan.
Blanka’s reversals are weak in general. Ex upball does no damage, costs a bar, doesn’t really reset the positional advantage, and every character gets a huge punish on block. EX rainbow is option select bait, hell it’s slow enough to react to. His best reversal is probably focus backdash.
Blanka has to guess on knockdowns vs. every character in the game. His reversals are pretty meh, so he has to commit to blocking or trying to guess as he doesn’t have something like reversal fadc backwards or whatever. He has to play honest defense, but makes up for that for being really difficult to knockdown.