Yeah I definitely agree Af0. All Guy has is st.mk really as none of his other pokes cut it.
Cr.hk is suicide as the risk vs reward is way in giefs favour.Why risk a max range/spaced cr.hk being blocked and SPD’ed when on hit you’re scoring like 40 damage and wont even get a knockdown.
St.hp just isnt very good because of the hitbox which doesnt extend far enough away from Guy himself.You need long range pokes as you dont want to ever put yourself in Giefs new SPD range.
That leaves you with cr.Mp which is okay as you can option select into EX hozanto to keep him out but its very easy for a competent Gief to whiff punish. St.mp has the same problems.Again, both of these cant really be used from mid-far range like st.mk so getting in a position where you can use st.mp and cr.mp you are already putting yourself at risk of getting scooped.
St.Hk just has a terrible angle on it.Probably Guys worst poke overall.As an anti air it really only works on far range jumps which shouldnt really happen at high level and especially not in this matchup. Guy has little to stop Gief from jumping at you in close range in general.
I need to test out Guy’s cr.hp against giefs pokes though.Anyone had any success with it?
Zangiefs will tend to just walk forward and use st.mp alot and they end up bulldogging you into the corner because simply put Guy has nothing to threaten or challenge Gief damage wise. So you just whiff punished Giefs normals with st.mk? Well done you’ve just scored like 20 damage lol.Meanwhile he just walks forward not giving a fuck.
HP bushin flip is a good escape from the corner but good Giefs will anticipate with neutral jump headbutt. Now you’re caged in the corner.
EX bushinsenpukyaku is a good reversal on wakeup after the SPD 50/50 but is it worth it if the Gief has an U2 stocked? Also the motion can get messed up and turned into EX run sometimes if the Gief does one of those very deep/ambiguous crossups.
Using Elbows to bait anti air lariats isnt possible anymore either as the new SPD range will catch you at the range where you whiffed them before.
This matchup is 7-3 in my opinion.
Guys worst matchups in AE in my opinion are:
Zangief
Akuma
Rose (still very bad even with Rose’s nerfs)
Ryu
Cammy
Best matchups:
Sagat
Seth
Gouken
Viper
Dudley
Blanka
Matches that have improved(some of these are 5-5 now):
Balrog
M.Bison
Honda(this is 5-5 from 7-3 now)
Fei Long
Rufus
Ken
Abel
Guile(I think Guy wins this fight now)
Chun Li
Dhalsim
Yun matchup is 6-4 in Yuns favour with Yang being slightly easier but still 6-4.Winnable 6-4’s for sure as Guy does have technology to blow up some of their stuff and his safe jumps work well on them besides Yun’s Ex upkicks.If you get pressure and momentum on these two after a punish or knockdown or something you can definitely beat them convincingly. It’s only because of the sheer tools and damage they have that they win the matchup.
Havent played against a good Evil Ryu yet but the matchup seems better than regular Ryu.Havent played against any Oni yet.