Mmm…EX Shunpukyaku is good, yes, but…I wouldn’t throw it out recklessly against Balrog. It is armour breaking, sure, but the timing for that is a bit strict for online since you have to predict when he’ll do an EX punch. Personally, what I like to do is focus through his EX punch (the EX overhead punch is armour breaking though :O), then perform a little string leading into EX Shunpukyaku rather than just using it by itself.
Even though the EX Shunpukyaku is pretty damn safe, Balrog does like to crouch a lot, so if you throw it out too much, you may just whiff over him, lol. I just find that a level 2 FA works really well against Balrog when I play against him, especially when he tries to close the gap with a dashing straight (not sure what the attack is actually called). Also, don’t be afraid to throw those fireballs out to try and bait a straight (since he does get FA properties with it) and try to FA in return to lead into a combo :tup:
Now, this doesn’t work against all Balrog players, but I run into a lot of them that like to start out the match with that straight, so you can either focus through it then with your level 2 FA or just jump in the beginning of the match and do what I do (j.hk -> c.mk -> lk.Shunpukyaku -> c.hp -> hk.Shunpukyaku (or EX into Sakura Otoshi if you have a bar) ). Also, don’t be afraid. That’s one thing you MUST keep in mind, lol.
Balrog is like a wild dog. He can smell fear from you, lol. So, what I generally like to do is bait a headbutt while they are down with a level 2 FADC. By the time they wake up, you have already dashed back and they whiff with the headbutt, leaving them open for another combo.
Now obviously, that’s not going to work against every Balrog player, but it’s just something nice to keep in mind (it has worked quite a few times for me :P). As for Honda, well…not really much advice I can give with this match up, honestly. I just go in hoping for the best out of this one, haha.
What I like to do though is keep my distance for a little bit and wait for a headbutt, but don’t throw a fireball (if you throw one, they will think you are going to throw another, so they won’t do the torpedo or even EX since the fireball will knock him out of it). Just stay back, wait for him to dive in, jump back with j.hk so it connects just as he finishes the animation after missing, then start up your combo. After you knock him down, he’ll probably try to get up with the buttsplash (or whatever it’s called, lol), so you can either focus the first hit (when you’re right in his face and he performs it) and dash forward, THEN counter or you can just dash back and wait for him to whiff and just knock him out of the air with a c.hp and jump in to apply some pressure.
I see a lot of Honda players crouching when they are about to do the headbutt, so if you ever get close to one and you see him crouching, but waiting for a time to do the headbutt, throw out a flower kick for the overhead. Also, don’t be afraid to throw. It could be something simple. Like a j.lk crossup after they get up followed by a couple of pokes to make him think you are going for a string, but stop, then throw, but don’t forget about that headbutt!
I just like being a little risky every now and then because anybody who picks a charge type character will probably think they have you against the ropes since you picked Sakura, so when you play the brave card, it DOES have a chance at throwing off their game and causing them to get a little more aggressive (which is what you want :P), letting you capitalize on their mistakes and punish them. I’m sure quite a few people have thought, “Wtf is he doing?!” when I actually rushdown Gief and throw him instead of stay back and cower in fear, lol. Just try to change your game up a little bit (every charge type player knows how to take you on if you try zoning, and playing defensively while waiting for them to make a mistake, it’s too predictable) and shake them up a little.
Sometimes you just have to go balls to the wall if you want to stand a chance, lol. Don’t be afraid to take risks, but know WHEN to take them. Either way, not sure if this will help, but hopefully it will to some extent 