I’ll assume you were joking when you actually think that the big heads behind baseball had any sense of intelligence. We’re living in a world where Derek Jeter is the reigning Gold Glove winner at shortstop and Nick Punto played in 150 games this year and somehow got 472 at-bats.
If Dennis Eckersley went in first ballot, there is absolutely no way the all time saves leader won’t.
I happen to agree with you that the saves stat is overrated (which is why you have to start looking at like WPA or VORP and crap like that), but baseball and the Hall of Fame - whether you like it or not - is all about the numbers. And a guy who has the major league all time lead in a glory stat like saves…there’s absolutely zero chance that he won’t make it in as a first ballot Hall of Famer.
Why hasn’t Burt Blyleven been elected into the Hall of Fame yet even though he’s been eligible since '98? He’s 5th all time in strikeouts, 9th all time in shutouts and 13th all time in innings pitched. He’s got a HOF monitor rating of 120 (usually 100 is the Hall of Fame standard), and yet he’s still not in. Because he "only has 287 wins and also has 250 career losses.
Again…win and losses - completely useless stat in determining the actual value of a pitcher. But you don’t get recognition without it.
Was Trevor Hoffman really ever that good enough in a season where he was legitimately one of the top three closers in baseball and ever had that “first ballot hall of famer” label on him? Probably not outside of '98, I agree with you. But you have to consider that Hall of Fame credentials are also about longiveity, and why Lou Gehrig and Cal Ripken get so much love from old school baseball “historians” for their streaks.
Maybe that’s the misunderstanding between the two of us. But you’re right, I don’t think Hoffman was ever one of the absolute best closers in baseball for an extended run like with Mo Rivera or even Eckersley, but he was a consistently great one for like fifty straight years, and you gotta respect that.
True, he blew a World Series game and came up lame two straight times that his team really needed him at the end of the season…but all I’m saying is that he doesn’t have like a big game, clutch, reputation (ie. Jack Morris, Rivera) to ruin in the first place.