I completely disagree. Jumping is only one mid-range option and it’s the most unsafe one. You’re basically saying that the only or most probable thing that can happen to me at that specific range is me getting randomly jumped on while I throw a huge random poke with massive recovery. Which sounds a little silly to me. Jumping is often a player’s last resort at getting in dat sweet pressure range. But smarter players will use a variety of advancing manoeuvers to try and close the distance. This can be a dash/wavedash, a slide type move, a lunge punch, tackle or overhead. Or something like Gief’s Green Hand or Rog’s Dash Punch. These are all mid-range options used to close distance that get effectively blown up by a buffered standing/crouching short. And if they do jump on me, I still recover fast enough to cross-cancel or at least block in time. So I don’t really see the risk there. I’m not throwing a standing roundhouse I’m throwing a standing short.
imo it depends a lot more on the character you’re fighting against than the player. The spacing and pokes you use to buffer will differ depending on the character’s… “attack vectors” (omg James Chen jargon :D).
Maybe I’m just thinking a bit differently though because I don’t really play Ryu lol. I play Yoshi, a character who doesn’t have the best pokes in the world so I’m not looking to play the up close footsie war against someone like Julia. Or rather, I have to play footsies differently at a different range using different tactics. But it’s the same universal concept and it’s just as effective and has the advantage of being a much safer way of fishing.
I will agree that not everyone is able to whiff punish on reaction though. And that fishing/buffering is a risky tactic if you’re going to use it up close at a range where you can get whiff punished or get your poke blocked. I can agree with that. But the way you phrased it:
To me sounded like you were saying it’s a tech that only works against bad/uneducated players because any good player will always whiff punish you. Which is far from being true. And like you said yourself a considerable portion of the cast would not even have the normals required to reach that far in time.