Credit: Mega0319, who learned the s mk / VT tech from MDZ Jimmy. Went into the lab and discovered these numbers.
Max Range: Starting as close to the opponent as possible, take 11 steps away from the opponent = max range. 12 steps whiffs the s MK
[CORNER/STANDING]
1st Place: s MK x VT x cr HP, HP SRK x CA = 466 damage / 619 stun (max range = 5 steps from opponent)
2nd Place: s MK x VT x HP SRK x CA = 455 damage / 530 stun (max range = 8 steps away from opponent)
3rd Place: s MK x VT x s HK, s LK, HP SRK x CA = 436 damage / 589 stun (max range = 8 steps from opponent)
4th Place (non CA): s MK x VT x S HK, s LK, EX TATSU + EX DP = 340 damage/ 534 stun. To connect EX DP, be less than 10 steps away.
5th Place* (non CA/Meterless)*: s MK x VT x s HK, s LK, HP SRK = 261 damage / 439 stun
[MAX RANGE/STANDING] (11 steps away from opponent)
WITH CA:
1st Place: s MK x VT x lk TATSU x CA = 381 damage / 490 stun
2nd Place: s MK x VT x CA = 352 damage / 360 stun
WITHOUT CA:
1st Place: s MK x VT x EX TATSU = 182 damage / 280 stun (ENDING EX SRK whiffs)
2nd Place: s MK x VT x EX FIREBALL = 168 damage / 280 stun
3rd Place: s MK x VT x m TATSU = 152 damage / 280 stun (meterless)
4th Place: s MK x VT x s HK = 144 damage / 244 stun (s lk whiffs)*
Sometimes the s lk does not whiff, weird. If it doesn’t, then these are the optimal punishes.
1st Place: s MK x VT x s HK x s LK x LK TATSU, CA = 388 damage / 559 stun
2nd Place: s MK x VT x s HK x s LK x EX TATSU = 250 damage / 409 stun
3rd Place: s MK x VT x s HK x s LK x EX FIREBALL = 237 damage / 409 stun
4th Place: s MK, x VT, s HK, s LK x m TATSU = 225 damage / 409 stun (meterless)
[CORNER/CROUCH] Max Range = 11 steps away from opponent
1st Place: s MK x VT x cr HP, HP SRK x CA = 466 damage / 619 stun (max range = 6 steps from opponent.
2nd Place: s MK x VT x HP SRK x CA = 455 damage / 530 stun (HP SRK connects one step closer from MAX range)
3rd Place (non CA): s MK x VT x EX TATSU + EX DP = 308 damage/ 455 stun. To connect EX DP, be less than 10 steps away.
[MAX RANGE/CROUCH] (14 steps away)
1st Place: s MK x VT x EX TATSU = 182 damage / 280 stun (ENDING EX SRK whiffs)
2nd Place: s MK x VT x EX FIREBALL = 168 damage / 280 stun
3rd Place: s MK x VT x SWEEP = 152 damage / 240 stun