Hi G77,
In my opinion, I dont think its a great change to this match up the fact that Ryu cant FADC his HP SRK. Cause the most common punish situations for Ken land a combo finishing with tatsu is using HK one that gives him -2 on hit or the EX that gives him +1 as you know. Ryu’s MP SRK has 4 frames on startup and 6 frames of invincibility I think. What is the same properties of Ken’s MP SRK. The most invincible one. Ken’s HP SRK is faster but less invincible, just 4 frames I think. So, for me, it still a guess situation. Not to mention the fact the Ryu’s EX SRK is the most invincible on this matchup. I think its 16 frames of invicibility. And Ken’s one is 11 frames, correct me if I’m wrong. (That’s what happen when you go for a cheap damage against a Ryu on wake up using EX SRK and get bet by his EX SRK… In the past, happened a lot with me… ^ ^)
Facing shotos in generally, the best thing to do is a late crouch tech. Its the most safe option in my opinion. You cant get damage from it, unless youre facing random Ryus that dont know the properties of Ken’s tatsu. So sometimes they will do random SRKs or Ultras II and with a crouch tech you’ll block anything he does and Ken is able to get a full punish when Ryu lands or escape from a throw attempt.
But if you are playing with a great momentum, you’re feeling yourself, I think you can risk sometimes do a MP SRK. Just if you’re in advantage on the match and almost getting a stun, or if you made a mind game before that made you opponent think that you’re a solid player and dont mash anything, he will be caught by surprise with a random SRK from you. And “respect” you more. It sounds a little crazy, but works sometimes.
For me the best option for sure is to do a late crouch tech. The best situation is to get neutral. And after a HK tatsu its easier to do a delayed crouch tech because of the -2 on hit. Its almost automatic when you get the right time after a little practice. If you get a tech, nobody gets damage, but you still on Ryu’s face, what is a good thing, considering the fact that he is a powerful zoning character.
Just to mention, now in AE 2012, I think this matchup still in Ryu’s favor. 6-4. Daigo x Momochi back in time, on the Super version, playing the Gods Garden Online represents very well the way I see the 2 characters at the maximum potential.
Peace