To an extent, I would say yes. Regardless if one is a frequent tournament / arcade player or a console exclusive player, if you get high enough points in an online ranked match, sooner or later you start to lose way more points than you win in a single fight. That said, in order to maintain such a high points score online, it’d be fair to say that one would have to be at least relatively skilled.
However, in the long-run I’d also say no. Say for the sake of argument that someone out there has 100% perfect connections with everybody online 100% of the time and does great with high points and all. His success online vs. his success in, say, a real-life tournament could vary greatly because of factors such as crowd pressure, noise, the intimidation of fighting a big-shot like Justin Wong / Mike Ross, etc. There are environmental aspects that greatly affect performance. For one thing, while playing online, you don’t really care what other players think of you. You don’t know any of them, and odds are you’ll probably never see them in person anyway. Your performance is what you make of it.
But in a tournament or hell, even just an arcade, it’s different. Your opponent is sitting close to you. You have people physically standing next to you, watching you, dissecting your every move. If you make it onto an EVO stream, the eyes of the world are on you. Your seat might be uncomfortable, or maybe the guy behind you won’t shut up. Performance, reputation, and pride are on the line. All of a sudden you feel as if you have a lot more at stake than just points in an online battle. And that is usually where the skill distinction really shows. You can be great online, but if you’re not used to dealing with the pressure offline, your performance will take a serious hit.
So I guess my answer would be:
[LIST]
[]If you have no intention of going (Or don’t have access) to arcades / tournaments and online’s all you got, then yes, you can use your performance there as a general assessment of your skill providing that you achieve a good points score, then maintain AND improve it.
[]If you decide to go to arcades or travel to tournaments, then no, your performance online may not necessarily reflect your true skill given the many factors that will affect your performance both physically and psychologically due to the change in environment. Of course, I obviously can’t speak for EVERYONE. One exception would be that if you ALWAYS go to tournaments and arcades and win consistently, then your performance online probably WOULD reflect your true skill.
[/LIST]
At the end of the day, whatever it is you try to do online or at the arcades / tournaments, if it ain’t cheating and it’s what gets you the win, then all the more power to you. Just keep doing what you’re doing. My two cents. Well, more like two dollars, but you get the idea…