This is going to be an extremely long post.
So I played about 9 games against this hwoarang player with my Bryan, and I recorded this last match because I want to share how I attempt to read people in a match and take advantage of frame advantage.
Perhaps you guys could take something from this.
The general rule I adhere to, is that most players have patterns…unless they are really good players, or unless you give them a reason to break their pattern…this is the premise behind my theory.
It pays to be observant.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_mhAcj0QpQo
So throughout the set, eventually the guy resorted to low jabs because I was poking him in his face because that’s one of hwoarang’s weaknesses, and the character doesn’t have a good high crush.
First at the 2:08 mark: 1,1,3,3. This is a scrubby but a go to move for hwoarang because it’s somewhat hard to block even if you know it’s coming, I think you have to block the first two hits to block the 3rd hit, not sure. This moves leaves hwoarang at negative on hit, but I noticed in one of the few matches earlier, he went to a d+1 or “duck jab” afterward, and he was successful…Obviously, if he was successful the first time, in his mind, there is a high chance that he would be successful again…this also lets him steal a turn and keep up his offense.
So immediately after getting hit by 1,1,3,3 I went to uf+4 orbital heel. After landing this move, I highly doubt the hwoarang player would go for a d+1 again…because it’s not worth the gamble if you know your opponent is willing to hopkick…you guess right, you get small damage, you guess wrong, you eat a bunch of damage.
At the 2:41 mark, I go for a B+1 with Bryan.
I figured the other player would go for a 1,2…even though he’s at negative…The reason why I thought he would go for a 1,2…is because again, in a prior match, I went for B+1, and then he interrupted my follow up with a 1,2.
So this time, I figured he would go for a 1,2, but I wasn’t sure, so instead of trying anything, I went with the “observation route”…aka doing nothing…what happened?
He did jabs into a string… and I had to wait for my turn.
Eventually, I hit him with a 1,2 ,which leaves me at + frames.
Most good players would continue blocking after getting hit with 1,2, so I went for a B+1 and expected it to be blocked…what happened after this? B+1 leaves me at positive frames…but literally just 5 seconds before hand, he went for a 1,2 after blocking B+1…so I guessed that he would do it again…
What happened?
therefore, I go for 1,2…it hits! I’m right…I’m going to do the setup again cause why not>
B+1, it gets blocked, “he’s going to 1,2 or push buttons"
therefore, I go for 1,2…it hits! I’m right again…I’m going to do the setup once again…but I assume he’s going to “learn from this” because he’s a good player…and he’s going to try and beat my 1,2 with duck jab”…this is an aggressive player…how do I know this? he goes for duck jabs a lot, and earlier in the match, I did a blocked Rage Drive, and he tried to interrupt me afterwards…what beats a low jab? Orbital heel uf+4…
it works!
Three successful reads in a row, through conditioning…
Point is: be observant…your opponent will generally give you what you need if you pay attention. if you go for a 50/50 and pick option A and it doesn’t work…generally you can immediately go for the same setup, and pick option B, and it will work.
you don’t need to go into an entirely new setup or feel you’re way through…if option A doesn’t work, go for option B immediately…or save option B for a round ender.