Abel tougher then Gief? Maybe, maybe not.
Abel is a tough matchup if you guess incorrectl, same as her. So I’d imagine the level of guessing wouldn’t be as bad. In the same vein that Blanka isn’t difficult if you know his tricks, Abel isn’t as scary if you learn to read some of his patterns and signature moves.
I’m going to hold onto the opinion that Gief will be her scariest matchup if Karakusa loses to SPD (Unlike TT) and if Hayate has no armor. Gief is a nightmare for Abel, same for her because he’ll kill her from just one mistake. If her dash backwards is really bad as well, then it’s a nightmare what Gief could due to her off oe one knockdown.
I think her pokes will win it for her, especially because they change in appearance and location based on which direction your press them. Neutral heavy punch compared to forward heavy punch for example.
If Gief makes a mistake, you’ve got a chance, but to remove Karakursa almost entirely is tough.
I believe I said early I think Sagat will give her a hard time, even if EX-Hayate has armor, but Ryu would be much easier if it does. Seth, is an easier matctup then it looks as is Sim, but its really just the more aggresive characters that might make her eat dirt.
For example, I don’t think Rog would be as bad as say, Rufus. Rog is dangerous, but you can make him pay off of a big whiff and he’s typically holding down back, so you’ve got to initiate a good enough mixup based on the fact that his jab is crazy, and his AA is good. That makes me think that EX-Karakusa would win here, cause its probably strike immune (Speculation.)
But Makoto is terrible on the defensive side, has no real “Please get up off me” moves, so Rufus continously flying in, without a whole lot of fear (at first) might make it really difficult for her to win. If she gets swarmed out turtled too well, Makoto won’t win. She had no great matchups imo, better chances, but its like Abel true in true.
Its more about the player, then it is about the character. If he guesses wrong, then you’ll be fine.
