^ i admit i didn’t know you could just hit him straight out of jaguar tooth with a jab. but i wouldn’t say it was reliable. i’ve been messing around in training mode and it’s been trading and beating both st.hp and jab quite often. so it’s pretty risky to try hitting him out of it if you ask me.
as for using flash kicks against his jaguar kick, i agree they seem to work very well. the problem i have with this though is that i personally don’t like tactics where the game plan revolves around relying on flash kick. it’s damn risky. plus the fact a good player will always work out a way to bait you into doing them. adon has the damage to really hurt guile for a missed flash kick. not just the initial bnb either. his mixups on guile’s wakeup are deadly.
couple of adon observations i picked up in training mode:
he can combo into ultra from full screen 2 different ways (ex jaguar tooth and hk air jaguar, rising jaguar, fadc, ultra 2)
j.hk, st.hp x rising jaguar does exceptionally good damage for something so simple (320hp)
both mk and hk flash kicks trade with ground mk jaguar kick. nice setup for sonic hurricane.
mk and ex ground jaguar kick punish sonic booms on reaction. this is the game changer, because even if you manage to block, it’s his way inside. from here he can go for whatever mixup he wants. like deteknician mentions, only ex hits overhead.
also, low air jaguar kicks (like cammy’s tk cannon) can punish booms (though it will trade with the boom a lot of the time) AND can combo into bnb/ultra afterwards.watch here:
[media=youtube]nVoHA-CWg04#t=1m26s[/media]
having said that, i tried hitting this in training mode for about 15 mins straight and couldn’t do it (the joys of playing on pad), so it’s unlikely you’re ever going to get hit by it unless you play against basically tournament level players.
(*side note: it’s very hard to tell the difference between this and mk ground jaguar kick. adon lets out a high pitched shriek rather than “jaguar kick”.*)
the more i find out about this match, the more i think it doesn’t bode well for guile.