I’ve posted some matchup info about Ermac in my Smoke thread. The Smoke boards don’t seem too interested in discussing matchups, so I was hoping people here are. If you could take a quick look at the info I posted and tell me where you agree and disagree, I’d be very grateful. It’s always helpful to talk about matchups from both sides.
Here’s what I have written:
Ermac
[details=Spoiler]Matchup: ?/?
Strategy: You have advantage at full screen, disadvantage at mid screen, and are about even close up.
At full screen, throw smoke bombs and hold block right after. If Ermac tries to fireball, it trades with smoke bomb in your favor (8% to 12% even without a combo, and you get okizime). If he tries to teleport punch on reaction to your bombs, you’ll block it and he’ll eat a combo. Try to vary your timing on the bombs, as he can only teleport punch if he correctly guesses the timing of your bomb and teleports at the same time. Smart Ermacs will realize this disadvantage and will block-dash to about mid screen. You need to counter his spacing with your own teleports.
At mid screen, your goal is to get in or get out. Ermac beats you badly here. If you jump, he can force push you out of it. If you throw a smoke bomb, he can threaten to jump punch in on you for huge damage. You need to block-dash in or out and not try anything risky.
Up close, both of you are about the same threat level. Ermac’s 2, 2 combo is decently fast but you can duck under it cleanly. His B+1, 1, 4 combo hits special mid but is very slow, so if you’re crouching you can poke out of it. Either of these combos leads to very big damage, however, so watch out. Meanwhile, you have your 44% combo with 3, D+1, 2, and you can threaten a fast overhead with B+2 for 35%, and you have a fast sweep for 7% + okizime. Neither of you really like being up close, so depending on the opponent and how comfortable you are up close you may be able to get the advantage here.
If you score a knockdown, Ermac has no answer to cross up jump punch on wakeup. Do that into a sweep/overhead/throw mixup.
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The matchup looks like 5/5 to me, possibly slightly in Ermac’s favor since he can just blockdash a couple times to get to mid-screen, while smoke has to work harder to stay at full screen. Ermac also has an easier time cornering smoke for the same reasons.