Heya Scarz!
Here’s the TL;DR:
-Good work in sagat match, risky with HCs, but not bad.
-Punishes! Ryu showed he loved random SRKs and tatsu. Try sweeping whiffed tatsus (lp reset got you shoryued both times you did it) and stop sweeping whiffed SRKs. Normal->hayate for lp SRK and fukiage combo blocked HP SRKs
-Are you predicting or reacting? Explain that cr. mk at 1:40 if you would.
-MP oroshi can be good too! You can combo after it with cr. lk into ex hayate for a corner combo!
-Nice comeback, don’t rely on those though!
[details=Spoiler]The sagat match, it was pretty clear that he didn’t know what to do once you got in. You definitely lucked out on that string of hayate cancels that lead to the stun. Nice patience in that match starz! No random ex hayates or u2s from you. Good timing in walking forward and blocking. Nice corner pressure. I don’t agree with how risky you went with those hayate cancels, but it worked out for you, so hey!
The ryu match…first off, damn this guy has a lotta games under his belt! Guess that’s more normal for console users to see, but anyways. This ryu established a few things early on that you didn’t catch right away. First, the first time you knocked him down (I woulda went for a hayate combo there instead of sweep, but knockdowns are good so hey) he went for HP shoryu (which he can’t FADC in 2012 if I remember right). That there should put you in bait mode. He also showed that he’s willing to use raw HK tatsu to get outta the corner. You started jabbing them eventually, but every time you did he just SRKed ya. I prefer to go with sweep to punish those myself, gotta go for those knockdowns!
When round 2 hit, you went into bait mode. After you backdashed that shoryu, you could have done cr. mp into ex hayate for corner push. Then he did another SRK at about 1:41 and you punished with cr. mk. I’m starting to think that maybe you’re not reacting with these but predicting. Dunno what you were looking for with that cr. mk, maybe anticipating a jump in or something, but I dunno if it woulda hit since you did it so early. If you’d waited for the SRK, you woulda had a cr. mp -> hayate punish. Then he charges a full lvl 3 FA…which I’m pretty sure you were out of range of. At this point, I can tell the guy is cracking a bit. You reacted to the FA with what I guess was a missed HK IAT (yeah it sucks when you miss it). N. jmp HK would have worked as a punish. Raw ex. hayate even woulda worked (since you were so close, I don’t think he coulda reacted). I woulda went for a block string, karakusa set up, or throw after the missed HK IAT, since yeah, he’s mashing at this point.
Then he…fadcs a cr. mk at 1:50? Looks like he meant to FADC a hadou, but missed it, so hey, whatever. Then you start doing all those HP oroshis on his wake-up…oh man you got lucky there. Again, start punishing whiffed SRKs better than sweep. You also did no follow up after MK IAT at 2:02 or so, woulda killed him for sure. Still, good corner pressure, although you coulda did a few things a bit better.
As for the final round, well you can tell he was scared. He was whiffing normals full screen…not throwing hadous, despite the fact that you weren’t at a range to punish him for it. Those two whiffed tatsus definitely coulda turned the round in your favor. If you’d swept him, you coulda went for mix ups on his wake up, or bait him. As for your comeback, it was glorious. I love seeing that, but you’re again you got lucky there. He didn’t start mashing until after you choked him 
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