I do believe in Lariat in footsies vs Rose, but more as a tool to get in fast and mindfuck the opponent and less as in tool that you fall back in on the neutral (like against Bison, for an example, since if you do a misread you’re eating the same damage you would if you fucked up your lights, but without using meter to get in, but against Rose you have other tools to get in more reliably like whiff punishes or stuffing her buttons with your mids, also her AA is really spacing-based so being able to do regular or short jump with knees, j.MK or j.HP is bound to work as long as you keep mixing it up at the right ranges).
The way I deal with the fireball trap is forcing the Rose player to waste meter by standing just in range for EX GH so they try to FADC back after doing a fireball to catch me with U1 until they have one or no meters, after that I just stand on EX GH range to force the player to stop throwing fireballs and fall back on her normals. Basically, don’t engage the fireball trap unless you want to eat that damage to get it out of the way (only viable if you got a knockdown early in the round and got some damage out of it).
Also, learn the spacing of punishable spirals, you were doing SPD’s without discrimination and you should have been punished for some of them.
As a sidenote, I’ve been playing vs Ken lately and I find it such an ass matchup to play now, everything they nerfed for Gief or buffed for Ken directly affected the matchup and it went from being 6-4 Gief to 6-4/6.5-3.5 Ken imo.
Ken’s new walking speed + the slight SPD nerf makes it easier for Ken to space his stepkick to make it safe, it went from having to be done at the absolute max range to be safe to just getting into a long range (where he can be if he wants to since now you don’t get to try and force him to be at bad ranges) and doing it, the st.MP hurtbox nerf makes it so instead of bullying or trading Ken’s stepkick it gets beaten by it more often than not. Losing LP GH makes his sweep not punishable again, and the range nerf makes it so whenever you whiff punish you absolutely need to use meter to get the damage and the mixup. It just feels like he gets to dictate the pace of the match from start to finish outside of Gief landing a suplex or Ultra somehow. It’s pretty ass imo, but I’m wondering what you guys think.