i have an interesting thing to add about the new ultra’s, though this is just theory and i don’t know for sure.
i just got out of watching this: [media=youtube]tZKJPVS1OiQ[/media]
at the end, they test bison’s new ultra. if he doesn’t cross up, ken can beat his ultra with a shoryuken. what i’m thinking is…do you think guile will have enough time to air throw?
anyways, due to improvements, nerfs ect, this is what i think of the new matches:
zangief: 6-4 guile. yup, i’m calling it. health nerf, lariat nerf, plus guile’s new ultra makes me think this is now in guile’s favour.
rufus: 6-4. ex snake strike does less damage. sonic hurricane for punishes. zone…guile now wins imo. (of course due to his huge come back potential with ultra’s, i can see the argument for 5-5 or even 4-6).
balrog: 6-4. now he can’t take so many risks with his jumps, due to sonic hurricane. add to this the fact he has no buffs and we see that guile now wins this one.
vega: 6-4. depends on how good that new version of ultra 1 is.
sakura:6-4. yes she has a new cross up, but her problem was always making it to guile in the first place.
fei long: 6-4
gouken: 6-4
bison: (will be a 6-4 in everyone else’s eyes other than mine, lol)
cammy: 6-4
dan: 6-4, abel: 5-5 (i personally think 4-6 but everyone else says 5-5), seth: 5-5, ken: 5-5, blanka:5-5 (maybe 6-4 guile as hurricane can probably punish blanka balls)
honda: this is a tricky one. i get the feeling that honda’s 720 ultra is going to help him big time. however, because guile can zone and now has a reliable ultra (which can punish honda easily) i’m going with 5-5
dhalsim: 5-5, rose: 5-5, gen: 5-5
sagat: i still have a bad feeling it’s going to still be 3-7. like i said with the sakura matchup, guile’s problem is getting to sagat. he’ll still be able to out zone guile for fun.
ryu: depends on if his combos have taken a damage nerf as much as his ultra setups have. i’m calling 4-6 (at the moment i think it’s 3-7)
akuma: 4-6. now guile can reliably punish any loose combo’s/demon flips
c.viper: 4-6 (could argue 3-7)
chun: 4-6 (possibly 3-7 depending on how good that ultra really is)
el fuerte: 4-6
as for the rest (these are just predictions and i’m obviously going to be way wrong about a couple of them):
deejay:5-5, guy: 6-4, cody:6-4, hakan:5-5, adon: 5-5, t hawk: 5-5, juri and ibuki 4-6 (possibly both 3-7), makoto 4-6, dudley (lets hope he can be zoned or this is 3-7)
so that would leave guile with:
6-4: 12 characters
5-5: 12
4-6: 8
3-7: 2
in the grand scheme of things, i think that’s definitely an improvement on where he is at the moment.